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Saturday · May 16 · 6:12 PM ✦

REDS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to rf

Final

Reds 4
GUARDIANS 7

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 4–7 Guardians

73%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 24% 76% 4–7
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 25% 75% 4–7
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 20% 80% 4–7
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 11% 89% 3–9
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 40% 60%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 45% 55%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 27% 73% 4–7
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Guardians this season

22–24

48% across 46 games