Saturday · May 16 · 6:12 PM ✦
REDS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to rf
Final
Reds
4
GUARDIANS
7
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 4–7 Guardians
73%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 24% | 76% | 4–7 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 25% | 75% | 4–7 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 20% | 80% | 4–7 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 11% | 89% | 3–9 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 27% | 73% | 4–7 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games