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Sunday · May 17 · 1:41 PM ✦

REDS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

Reds 3
GUARDIANS 10

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–10 Guardians

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 42% 58% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 38% 62%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 39% 61%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Guardians this season

22–24

48% across 46 games