Sunday · May 17 · 1:41 PM ✦
REDS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Reds
3
GUARDIANS
10
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–10 Guardians
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 42% | 58% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games