Monday · May 25 · 6:11 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 64 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph in from cf
Final
NATIONALS
10
Guardians
2
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 3–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 10–2 Nationals
66%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 29% | 71% | 3–6 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 25% | 75% | 3–7 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 27% | 73% | 4–6 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 20% | 80% | 3–7 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 34% | 66% | 3–7 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games