Friday · May 15 · 7:11 PM ✦
REDS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 64 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from cf
Final
REDS
7
Guardians
6
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 4–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 7–6 Reds
67%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 22% | 78% | 4–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 22% | 78% | 3–6 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 24% | 76% | 4–6 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 27% | 73% | 3–7 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 33% | 67% | 4–7 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Guardians this season
22–24
48% across 46 games