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Sunday · May 10 · 1:40 PM ✦

TWINS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 56 degrees, sunny, wind 5 mph in from cf

Final

TWINS 5
Guardians 4

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, decisively

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 5–4 Twins

75%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 16% 84% 3–7 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 22% 78% 4–7 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 18% 82% 3–7 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 20% 80% 4–7 ✗
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 33% 67% — ✗
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 25% 75% 3–7 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games