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Friday · May 8 · 7:15 PM ✦

TWINS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 55 degrees, drizzle, wind 13 mph out to rf

Final

Twins 4
GUARDIANS 6

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 4–6 Guardians

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 51% 49%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 52% 48%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 52% 48% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–22

51% across 45 games

Guardians this season

22–24

48% across 46 games