Back to the recap

Wednesday · April 29 · 2:31 PM ✦

RAYS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 49 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph in from cf

Final

Rays 1
GUARDIANS 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–6 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–3 Guardians

73%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 16% 84% 3–7
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 35% 65% 4–5
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 25% 75% 3–7
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 27% 73% 4–7
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 40% 60%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 17% 83%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 27% 73% 3–6
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games

Guardians this season

23–24

49% across 47 games