Monday · April 27 · 6:10 pm ✦
RAYS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf
Final
RAYS
3
Guardians
2
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–6 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–2 Rays
63%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 22% | 78% | 3–6 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 25% | 75% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 13% | 87% | 2–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 18% | 82% | 3–6 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 76% | 24% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 37% | 63% | 3–6 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Guardians this season
78–82
49% across 160 games