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Monday · April 27 · 6:10 pm ✦

RAYS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf

Final

RAYS 3
Guardians 2

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–6 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–2 Rays

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 22% 78% 3–6
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 25% 75% 3–5
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 13% 87% 2–7
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 18% 82% 3–6
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 48% 52%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 76% 24%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 37% 63% 3–6
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games

Guardians this season

23–24

49% across 47 games