Tuesday · April 28 · 6:11 PM ✦
RAYS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r
Final
RAYS
1
Guardians
0
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 3–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–0 Rays
66%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 31% | 69% | 3–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 13% | 87% | 2–6 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 13% | 87% | 3–7 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 11% | 89% | 3–8 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 73% | 27% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 34% | 66% | 3–7 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Guardians this season
78–82
49% across 160 games