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Tuesday · April 28 · 6:11 PM ✦

RAYS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

RAYS 1
Guardians 0

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–0 Rays

66%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 31% 69% 3–7
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 13% 87% 2–6
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 13% 87% 3–7
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 11% 89% 3–8
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 43% 57%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 73% 27%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 34% 66% 3–7
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games

Guardians this season

23–24

49% across 47 games