Tuesday · April 21 · 6:10 pm ✦
ASTROS @ GUARDIANS
Progressive Field. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to rf
Final
Astros
5
GUARDIANS
8
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–6 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 5–8 Guardians
70%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Guardians | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 33% | 67% | 4–6 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 25% | 75% | 3–6 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 20% | 80% | 4–7 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 29% | 71% | 4–6 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 26% | 74% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 30% | 70% | 4–6 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Guardians this season
23–24
49% across 47 games