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Saturday · April 18 ✦

ORIOLES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field.

Final

Orioles 2
GUARDIANS 4

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, decisively

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–7 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 2–4 Guardians

76%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 9% 91% 3–7
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 27% 73% 3–7
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 18% 82% 3–7
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 27% 73% 3–6
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 26% 74%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 30% 70%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 24% 76% 3–7
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Guardians this season

23–24

49% across 47 games