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Thursday · April 16 · 6:10 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 65 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

Orioles 2
GUARDIANS 4

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–6 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 2–4 Guardians

66%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 33% 67% 3–6
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 20% 80% 3–6
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 29% 71% 4–6
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 22% 78% 3–7
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 41% 59%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 48% 52%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 34% 66% 3–6
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Guardians this season

23–24

49% across 47 games