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Tuesday · April 7 · 1:10 PM ✦

ROYALS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 33 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

Royals 1
GUARDIANS 2

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 1–2 Guardians

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 47% 53%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 37% 63%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 50% 50% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games

Guardians this season

23–25

48% across 48 games