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Friday · April 3 · 4:11 PM ✦

CUBS @ GUARDIANS

Progressive Field. · 70 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

Cubs 1
GUARDIANS 4

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–6 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–4 Guardians

71%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Guardians Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 16% 84% 3–6
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 36% 64% 4–6
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 18% 82% 4–7
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 38% 62% 5–5
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 39% 61%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 23% 77%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 29% 71% 4–6
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games

Guardians this season

23–25

48% across 48 games