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Sunday · September 20 · 1:41 PM ✦

CUBS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph r to l

Final

CUBS 9
Reds 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 9–1 Cubs

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Reds Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 69% 31% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 76% 24% 5–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Chicago Cubs 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 73% 27% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 63% 37% 4–3 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games