Friday · September 18 · 6:40 pm ✦
CUBS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph l to r
Final
Cubs
4
REDS
6
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–6 Reds
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 64% | 36% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
None of the 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games