← Back to the recap

Tuesday · September 15 · 6:40 pm ✦

DODGERS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 89 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

DODGERS 4
Reds 0

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 5–2 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 4–0 Dodgers

67%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Reds Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 78% 22% 5–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 65% 35% 5–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 71% 29% 5–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 82% 18% 6–2 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 57% 43% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 67% 33% 5–2 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–57

64% across 157 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games