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Sunday · September 6 · 12:12 PM ✦

BREWERS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 77 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

Brewers 8
REDS 12

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 8–12 Reds

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 33% 67% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games