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Wednesday · September 2 · 12:41 PM ✦

PADRES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 94 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

Padres 3
REDS 7

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 3–7 Reds

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 2–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 33% 67% 2–3 ✓
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 45% 55% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 64% 36% — ✗
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games