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Friday · September 4 · 6:10 pm ✦

BREWERS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 95 degrees, clear, wind 4 mph out to lf

Final

BREWERS 10
Reds 7

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 10–7 Brewers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Reds Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 58% 42% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 38% 62% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 37% 63% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games