Tuesday · September 1 · 6:40 pm ✦
PADRES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 94 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
Padres
3
REDS
4
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 3–4 Reds
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games