Monday · August 31 · 6:40 PM ✦
PADRES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph r to l
Final
PADRES
5
Reds
0
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–0 Padres
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games