Thursday · August 20 · 12:41 PM ✦
CARDINALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to cf
Final
CARDINALS
10
Reds
9
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 10–9 Cardinals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
69–54
56% across 123 games
Reds this season
64–58
52% across 122 games