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Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦

CARDINALS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 79 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph out to cf

Final

CARDINALS 3
Reds 0

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 3–0 Cardinals

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 69% 31% 4–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 54% 46% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

69–54

56% across 123 games

Reds this season

64–58

52% across 122 games