Wednesday · August 19 · 6:40 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph r to l
Final
Cardinals
4
REDS
5
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 4–5 Reds
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 65% | 35% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games