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Sunday · August 16 · 1:42 PM ✦

MARLINS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 87 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

MARLINS 7
Reds 1

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 7–1 Marlins

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 49% 51%
Random Forest Miami Marlins 55% 45%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

66–56

54% across 122 games

Reds this season

64–58

52% across 122 games