Sunday · August 16 · 1:42 PM ✦
MARLINS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 87 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph out to lf
Final
MARLINS
7
Reds
1
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 7–1 Marlins
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games