Monday · August 17 ✦
CARDINALS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park.
Final
Cardinals
5
REDS
6
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–6 Reds
62%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 28% | 72% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games