Friday · August 14 · 6:10 pm ✦
MARLINS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to cf
Final
Marlins
0
REDS
1
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 0–1 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
67–56
54% across 123 games
Reds this season
64–59
52% across 123 games