Saturday · August 15 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
MARLINS
8
Reds
4
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Miami Marlins · Actual: 8–4 Marlins
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 65% | 35% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games