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Thursday · August 6 ✦

ATHLETICS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park.

Final

Athletics 5
REDS 6

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–6 Reds

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 38% 62% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 40% 60% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 37% 63% — ✓
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 41% 59% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games