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Wednesday · August 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph r to l

Final

Athletics 2
REDS 3

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–3 Reds

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 31% 69% 2–4 ✓
Logistic Athletics 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 41% 59% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games