Sunday · August 2 · 1:41 PM ✦
PIRATES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf
Final
Pirates
2
REDS
10
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–10 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games