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Sunday · August 2 · 1:41 PM ✦

PIRATES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

Pirates 2
REDS 10

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–10 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 36% 64% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 55% 44% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 55% 45%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 48% 52%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Reds this season

64–59

52% across 123 games