Tuesday · August 4 · 6:40 pm ✦
ATHLETICS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 84 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph l to r
Final
Athletics
4
REDS
5
Our Pick
ATHLETICS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Athletics · Actual: 4–5 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Athletics | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Athletics | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Athletics | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Athletics | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Athletics this season
92–64
59% across 156 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games