Saturday · August 1 · 6:40 pm ✦
PIRATES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 78 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph in from cf
Final
PIRATES
4
Reds
1
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 4–1 Pirates
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 30% | 70% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games