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Saturday · August 1 · 6:40 pm ✦

PIRATES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 78 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph in from cf

Final

PIRATES 4
Reds 1

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 4–1 Pirates

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 53% 47%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 30% 70%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Reds this season

64–59

52% across 123 games