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Wednesday · July 29 · 7:10 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 80 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to rf

Final

GUARDIANS 6
Reds 1

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 6–1 Guardians

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 58% 42% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 51% 49%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 52% 48%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 54% 46% 3–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games

Reds this season

64–59

52% across 123 games