Thursday · July 30 · 7:10 pm ✦
PIRATES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r
Final
Pirates
2
REDS
3
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 2–3 Reds
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games