Tuesday · July 28 ✦
GUARDIANS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park.
Final
Guardians
0
REDS
2
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 0–2 Reds
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games