Sunday · July 12 · 1:40 PM ✦
CUBS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf
Final
CUBS
8
Reds
4
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 8–4 Cubs
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 68% | 32% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games