Friday · July 10 · 7:10 pm ✦
CUBS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf
Final
Cubs
0
REDS
4
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 0–4 Reds
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 33% | 67% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games