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Friday · July 10 · 7:10 pm ✦

CUBS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

Cubs 0
REDS 4

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 0–4 Reds

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Reds Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 47% 53%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 33% 67%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 50% 50% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

61–63

49% across 124 games

Reds this season

65–59

52% across 124 games