Wednesday · July 8 · 7:10 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph in from rf
Final
Phillies
5
REDS
11
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–11 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games