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Wednesday · July 8 · 7:10 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph in from rf

Final

Phillies 5
REDS 11

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–11 Reds

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 38% 62%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

79–45

64% across 124 games

Reds this season

65–59

52% across 124 games