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Wednesday · July 8 ✦

PHILLIES @ REDS

Great American Ball Park.

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

Projected: 4–4 · 4 of 6 sims agree

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Reds Projected
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 60% 40% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 4–4
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 32% 68%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 44% 56%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 4–4

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

55–30

65% across 85 games

Reds this season

48–36

57% across 84 games