Sunday · July 5 · 1:05 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf
Final
Orioles
2
REDS
3
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 2–3 Reds
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games