Friday · July 3 · 7:10 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 93 degrees, clear, wind 2 mph out to lf
Final
ORIOLES
3
Reds
0
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–0 Orioles
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games