Wednesday · June 24 · 7:10 pm ✦
BREWERS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to lf
Final
BREWERS
6
Reds
5
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 6–5 Brewers
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
92–69
57% across 161 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games