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Monday · June 22 · 7:10 pm ✦

BREWERS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to rf

Final

BREWERS 2
Reds 1

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–1 Brewers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Reds Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 61% 39%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 39% 61%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 54% 46% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

50–35

59% across 85 games

Reds this season

49–36

58% across 85 games