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Wednesday · June 17 · 12:42 PM ✦

METS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

METS 9
Reds 1

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 9–1 Mets

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 4–3
Logistic New York Mets 50% 50%
Random Forest New York Mets 59% 41%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

49–37

57% across 86 games

Reds this season

49–36

58% across 85 games