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Wednesday · June 17 · 12:42 PM ✦

METS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph r to l

Final

METS 9
Reds 1

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 9–1 Mets

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 49% 51% 4–3 ✗
Logistic New York Mets 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest New York Mets 59% 41% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games