Tuesday · June 16 · 7:10 pm ✦
METS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l
Final
Mets
3
REDS
5
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 3–5 Reds
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games