Monday · June 15 · 7:10 pm ✦
METS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to lf
Final
Mets
0
REDS
12
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 New York Mets · Actual: 0–12 Reds
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mets | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games