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Sunday · June 14 · 1:41 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

D-BACKS 5
Reds 3

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 5–3 D-backs

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Reds Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 35% 65% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% 3–2
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 61% 39%
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 50% 50% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

46–40

53% across 86 games

Reds this season

49–36

58% across 85 games