Friday · June 12 · 7:15 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ REDS
Great American Ball Park. · 81 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph out to cf
Final
D-BACKS
5
Reds
2
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 5–2 D-backs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Reds | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games