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Saturday · June 13 · 4:11 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

D-backs 1
REDS 2

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–2 Reds

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Reds Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 64% 36% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 33% 67% 3–5 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% 3–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Reds this season

82–73

53% across 155 games