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Saturday · June 13 · 4:11 PM ✦

D-BACKS @ REDS

Great American Ball Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

D-backs 1
REDS 2

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–2 Reds

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Reds Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 33% 67% 3–5
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 35% 65%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 48% 52% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

46–40

53% across 86 games

Reds this season

49–36

58% across 85 games